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Thread: the $100.00 lease

  1. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-06-2012 10:57 PM #1
    So I know you people think i'm off my rocker when I posted a cheap lease thread and asked if cars could be had for little down and $100 a month, i got all sorts of crazy answers, but I truly think a civic LX can be had for close to $100 a month with 15k/36months. I used edmunds to calculate the residuals, and the LX scores a 70% residual based on the depreciation numbers listed. what do you guys think?

    Civic Sedan LX MSRP $19595
    3 year residual $13902
    so 13902/19595 = 70% residual
    aggressive pricing $16,700 - 13902 = 2983.50
    2983.50/36=82.87
    (19595+13902) x .00067 = 22.44

    $82.87 + 22.44 = 105.31 x nys tax = $114.65


    questions? comments?


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    10-06-2012 11:07 PM #2
    is this a real deal that can be had somewhere?

  3. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-06-2012 11:11 PM #3
    Quote Originally Posted by firstorbit84 View Post
    is this a real deal that can be had somewhere?

    depends on how good you are at negotiating.

    i don't see why not. i negotiated a lease on my van and posted the pictures to prove it. i think with a bit of work it can be had for $100

  4. 10-06-2012 11:18 PM #4
    There's a reason why you could get it down it 100.00 a month. Because the good years of the Honda's are done and over with. Same with toyota got to big and just are junk now. My sister bought a 2010 Toyota Corolla and its was the biggest POS. After she drove my 2008 Wolfsburg 2.0T. She asked me if i wanted to trade cars . Last month i found a used 2012 VW Jetta SEL for her with 6,000 miles. She loves the car and "she stated id never buy another toyota again damn that things was built like crap" lol. If honda and toyota start making better cars , they wouldn't have to sell them dirt cheap.
    Driving a VW is like having sex ,You just have to find the right curves and floor it and you will always have a hell of time.

  5. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-06-2012 11:22 PM #5
    Quote Originally Posted by 2.0TJett View Post
    There's a reason why you could get it down it 100.00 a month. Because the good years of the Honda's are done and over with. Same with toyota got to big and just are junk now. My sister bought a 2010 Toyota Corolla and its was the biggest POS. After she drove my 2008 Wolfsburg 2.0T. She asked me if i wanted to trade cars . Last month i found a used 2012 VW Jetta SEL for her with 6,000 miles. She loves the car and "she stated id never buy another toyota again damn that things was built like crap" lol. If honda and toyota start making better cars , they wouldn't have to sell them dirt cheap.

    im not sure you understand how leasing works... a 70% residual means that the car will be worth quite a bit after 3 years of ownership. and while "enthusiasts" may scream honda/toyota has lost their way. the numbers are proof that they are doing something right.

  6. 10-06-2012 11:45 PM #6
    I owned many hondas and toyotas in the 95-99 because they were awesome! I test drove a 2009 Toyota camry and a 2008 honda Accord. Thought the accord was better. Laugh about how cheap the toyota was. Its just my own person experience. You shut the door on those cars they sound like they are ready to fall apart and no HP at all. I dont know how they sell cars anymore. I think they have made such a good rep because of the year from 90-00's. Everyone still thinks they are amazing just very far from it.
    Driving a VW is like having sex ,You just have to find the right curves and floor it and you will always have a hell of time.

  7. 10-06-2012 11:57 PM #7
    thats not how a lease works. you still pay interest, taxes and dest charges. kbb doesnt determine depreciation honda does. there is a lot of factors that go into the price of a lease. if you use depreciation as a major factor you would make money on some ferrari or lambo cause the price goes up after a few years.

  8. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-06-2012 11:59 PM #8
    Quote Originally Posted by spitfire1 View Post
    thats not how a lease works. you still pay interest, taxes and dest charges. kbb doesnt determine depreciation honda does. there is a lot of factors that go into the price of a lease. if you use depreciation as a major factor you would make money on some ferrari or lambo cause the price goes up after a few years.

    are you talking to me? because the lease residual is based upon depreciation... and edmunds.com is pretty well trusted as far as residual values go...

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    10-07-2012 02:08 AM #9
    Quote Originally Posted by dieselraver View Post
    are you talking to me? because the lease residual is based upon depreciation... and edmunds.com is pretty well trusted as far as residual values go...
    Residuals are non negotiable and are set by the leasing company, in this case Honda finance. For example a 36 month residual is 49% for a Civic Coupe LX on honda.ca right now.

    Didn't bother checking honda.com but I'm sure you should be able to go there and find the residual as well. It's not gonna be anywhere near 70% after 3 yrs. No leasing company would want that back as they wouldn't be able to make money off it.
    Last edited by aleksl; 10-07-2012 at 02:12 AM.
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  10. Member Dandbest's Avatar
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    10-07-2012 06:57 AM #10
    there is no way in hell the residual is 70% for 10k per year, let alone for 15k. I'd do some more research if I were you.

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    10-07-2012 07:53 AM #11
    For what it's worth my brother just leased a civic lx for $149 a month and $2k down. I don't know the exact details so that $149 could +- a few but he was desperate for a commuter car. I doubt Honda or anyone will touch $100/month.

  12. 10-07-2012 08:00 AM #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Dandbest View Post
    there is no way in hell the residual is 70% for 10k per year, let alone for 15k. I'd do some more research if I were you.
    This. Your residual is wrong.

    Not to mention your cap cost of nearly $3k off of sticker on an economy car is probably a pipe dream.

  13. 10-07-2012 08:00 AM #13
    Not realistic IMO. Good luck having a 3K$ discount on a Civic.

    For example a 36 month residual is 49% for a Civic Coupe LX on honda.ca right now.
    It would be surprisingly close to 48mo. For a 2012, 48months / 60000 miles ---> 8573$ / 18240$ ---> 47%
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  14. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-07-2012 10:19 AM #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Saintor View Post
    Not realistic IMO. Good luck having a 3K$ discount on a Civic.



    It would be surprisingly close to 48mo. For a 2012, 48months / 60000 miles ---> 8573$ / 18240$ ---> 47%

    the residuals are off but they were calculated off edmunds. they are the true residual. i'm going to assume the bank uses a cushion (~10%) to cover their end. the 3k discount has been "had" (does that even make sense?) truecar.com lists up to date purchases made by consumers.

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    10-07-2012 11:14 AM #15
    I'm willing to guess that if you call a Honda dealer the actual residual number for that car after 3 years/15k per year is probably in the 52-57% range.
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    10-07-2012 11:33 AM #16
    Considering the EX with 12K miles/year has a current residual of 61% thru Honda Finance, I think your numbers are bunk.

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    10-07-2012 11:41 AM #17
    Isn't the residual based on wholesale value, not retail?
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    10-07-2012 12:09 PM #18
    Quote Originally Posted by BRealistic View Post
    Isn't the residual based on wholesale value, not retail?
    Residual is based on MSRP.

    OP is also forgetting drive off fees (bank fee, doc fee, DMV fee, security deposit, any upfront sales tax, tire recycling fees, etc).

    Also, that residual is nuts.

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    10-07-2012 12:31 PM #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Brendan@bwalkauto View Post
    Residual is based on MSRP.

    OP is also forgetting drive off fees (bank fee, doc fee, DMV fee, security deposit, any upfront sales tax, tire recycling fees, etc).

    Also, that residual is nuts.
    No... I mean the residual amount is what the car will be worth wholesale after the lease term (think actual amount and not a percentage of msrp).
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    10-07-2012 12:35 PM #20
    I just negotiated a lease on a new car.

    They're going to pay me $2500 up front and then $600 a month to drive the car for 3 years/36,000 miles.

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    10-07-2012 12:44 PM #21
    Quote Originally Posted by bbk View Post
    I just negotiated a lease on a new car.

    They're going to pay me $2500 up front and then $600 a month to drive the car for 3 years/36,000 miles.
    Has to be on a Crosstour.
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    10-07-2012 12:47 PM #22
    Quote Originally Posted by BRealistic View Post
    No... I mean the residual amount is what the car will be worth wholesale after the lease term (think actual amount and not a percentage of msrp).
    Ah, I see what you're saying. Yes, it's a financial prediction of what the wholesale value will be at the end of the term (and on a heavily subsidized lease, there might be a little inflation of that value).

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    10-07-2012 12:53 PM #23
    Quote Originally Posted by Brendan@bwalkauto View Post
    Ah, I see what you're saying. Yes, it's a financial prediction of what the wholesale value will be at the end of the term (and on a heavily subsidized lease, there might be a little inflation of that value).
    And that's why the 70% number makes zero sense- just the difference between new retail and one month old wholesale is close to 70%.
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    10-07-2012 01:26 PM #24
    The highest 15K mile/36 mo residual for a Civic is 58%. The current lease rate is .00053 for top tier.

  25. 10-07-2012 01:44 PM #25
    Quote Originally Posted by dieselraver View Post
    im not sure you understand how leasing works... a 70% residual means that the car will be worth quite a bit after 3 years of ownership. and while "enthusiasts" may scream honda/toyota has lost their way. the numbers are proof that they are doing something right.
    Ya man you totally got this sh*t. Pay next to nothing for a sh*tty car. Congratufu*kinlations
    Quote Originally Posted by Rutledge View Post
    Did you know that it's not pronounced Em Kay ? ALL OF THE CAR LOUNGE WILL BE HAPPY TO LET YOU KNOW THAT. SERIOUSLY. IT STANDS FOR MARK. DID YOU KNOW THAT? BEFORE THAT A1,A2, A3, ETC WAS USED. LIVE UP TO TCL STANDARDS BEFORE YOU GET ON MY ASS. THAT'S DISGUSTING.
    Example of TCL's standards

  26. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-07-2012 02:17 PM #26
    Quote Originally Posted by emkaytree View Post
    Ya man you totally got this sh*t. Pay next to nothing for a sh*tty car. Congratufu*kinlations

    im sure i'd take a 2012 civic over a dying emmkaytree anyday.

    i'll be at the dealership on saturday, my residual number was off by 10 basis points. even then, if I can negotiate the selling price of the car down to $15/16k the lease can be had for about $150 a month OTD. we're not in a rush to pick up the second car, honestly we will probably wait till november december when dealerships are really desperate to offload the 2012s. at that point we may just take whatever stock they have left.

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    10-07-2012 02:27 PM #27
    Quote Originally Posted by 2.0TJett View Post
    There's a reason why you could get it down it 100.00 a month. Because the good years of the Honda's are done and over with. Same with toyota got to big and just are junk now. My sister bought a 2010 Toyota Corolla and its was the biggest POS. After she drove my 2008 Wolfsburg 2.0T. She asked me if i wanted to trade cars . Last month i found a used 2012 VW Jetta SEL for her with 6,000 miles. She loves the car and "she stated id never buy another toyota again damn that things was built like crap" lol. If honda and toyota start making better cars , they wouldn't have to sell them dirt cheap.
    Quote Originally Posted by emkaytree View Post
    Ya man you totally got this sh*t. Pay next to nothing for a sh*tty car. Congratufu*kinlations
    Is this level of insecurity normal for VW owners?
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    10-07-2012 02:38 PM #28
    Quote Originally Posted by dieselraver View Post
    im not sure you understand how leasing works... a 70% residual means that the car will be worth quite a bit after 3 years of ownership. and while "enthusiasts" may scream honda/toyota has lost their way. the numbers are proof that they are doing something right.
    That is the first sign of an appliance That's all they are though, numbers on a sheet
    Last edited by sebasEuRo; 10-07-2012 at 07:47 PM.
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  29. 10-07-2012 02:45 PM #29
    19595$ is the price including PDI. AFAIK, PDI is all depreciated in the term.

    If we try to calculate according to some info above (58% after 3 years and 1.6% interest rate or 0.00067 money factor).

    18800$ x 0.58 = 10904$ residual

    Let's say you have a -5% discount (18800$x.95)-10904$+795$ over 36mo @ 1.6% = 221$

    Add to this 15$ (10904*.016/12) for the interest on the residual.

    That would be 236$/mo before tax.

    Mystery, on their site, Honda wants 365$/mo for a lease on a Civic LX 2012! lol.
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  30. Member mike02467's Avatar
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    10-07-2012 02:46 PM #30
    I leased my 2011 si for 112/ mo $2000 due at signing...

  31. 10-07-2012 02:54 PM #31
    Quote Originally Posted by emmettlodge View Post
    Is this level of insecurity normal for VW owners?
    my car is special...but why is the resale so low
    Quote Originally Posted by konigwheels View Post
    Wow, it amazes me that we have children in here that can't read a couple paragraphs. No wonder America's doing so well in education! Can't take the time to read, but sure can find the time to post. Self indulgence at it's finest.

    TL;DR should be banned and changed to ID;CR or I'm dumb, can't read.

  32. 10-07-2012 02:58 PM #32
    Quote Originally Posted by mike02467 View Post
    I leased my 2011 si for 112/ mo $2000 due at signing...
    Need more details but assuming 36 months, add $56/month for the downpayment.

    I have never been a big proponent of downpayment on leases.

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    10-07-2012 03:27 PM #33
    Quote Originally Posted by joe97 View Post
    Need more details but assuming 36 months, add $56/month for the downpayment.

    I have never been a big proponent of downpayment on leases.
    30 months 30k miles and that's total including tax titles and fees.

  34. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-07-2012 03:32 PM #34
    Quote Originally Posted by Saintor View Post
    19595$ is the price including PDI. AFAIK, PDI is all depreciated in the term.

    If we try to calculate according to some info above (58% after 3 years and 1.6% interest rate or 0.00067 money factor).

    18800$ x 0.58 = 10904$ residual

    Let's say you have a -5% discount (18800$x.95)-10904$+795$ over 36mo @ 1.6% = 221$

    Add to this 15$ (10904*.016/12) for the interest on the residual.

    That would be 236$/mo before tax.

    Mystery, on their site, Honda wants 365$/mo for a lease on a Civic LX 2012! lol.
    FYI the dealership im buying the odyssey from has an advertised lease of a true 0 down/ no tax nothing due at signing. $219 a month. 12k/yr/36mo

  35. Member dieselraver's Avatar
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    10-07-2012 03:33 PM #35
    Quote Originally Posted by mike02467 View Post
    I leased my 2011 si for 112/ mo $2000 due at signing...

    in that case I can have it for $172/month with nothing out of pocket. but i'd do 15k/36mo

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